広告ジャックポットは税前・分配前が多いです。買い信号ではありません。
EV = (jackpot contribution + lower tiers) − price. Jackpot contribution is roughly (estimated pot × p_first) / expected winners. A bad estimate makes a bad EV.
A rollover grows the numerator. Tax and annuity versus cash cut what you keep. Do not read a press line as take-home.
8,145,060 is a count of combinations. EV needs a prize table too. Different URL.
Entertainment budget. No loans, no all-in. A briefly positive EV still has extreme variance. Addiction is counselling. We do not sell a system.
| EV | Σ(prize×p) − price |
|---|---|
| 6/45 first | C(45,6)=8,145,060 |
| Ad jackpot | Often pre-tax / pre-split |
| Odds page | Other URL |
The house is usually favoured. Not a buy signal.
For entertainment and arithmetic. Expected value and odds are not a winning tip or investment advice. Draws are random.