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Hot hand: stripe memory, not temperature

Basketball “hot hand” debates hang on samples and definitions. Treating a lottery draw like an athlete is a category error. If independent, last jackpot does not warm the next. Pair with regression-to-mean-lucky-streak.

Athlete versus ball

Athletes fatigue and face defence. Draw balls have no muscle.

Opposite of the gambler’s fallacy

One story wants repayment; one wants heat. Both try to break independence.

News

Jackpot news is availability. availability-heuristic-jackpot.

We do not sell

No hot-week calendar.

Related

FAQ

If this week feels hot, should I buy?
It is not temperature.
Numbers?
No.
Prediction?
No.
A system?
No.

For entertainment and arithmetic. Combinatorics, bias, and expected value are not a winning tip or investment advice. Draws are random.

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